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Medical School Chances Calculator

Enter your MCAT score and GPA to see your admission category — Safety, Target, Reach, or Far Reach — at all 162 US medical schools with published admissions data, best fits first. Shareable link. Based on official admissions data. Your category breakdown and strongest matches show instantly; the full ranked list comes with a free account.

Range 472528
Scale 2.04.00

Your Medical School Summary

You're a Target or better at 53 of 162 schools.

MCAT 510 · GPA 3.60 · 162 schools analyzed

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3

Safety · 2%

50

Target · 31%

52

Reach · 32%

57

Far Reach · 35%

Average admission probability across these schools: 22%. Individual probabilities below account for your percentile vs each school's admitted class and acceptance rate.

Your Best-Fit Medical Schools

Your 5 strongest fits of 162 US schools with published data. Updates as you change your stats.

See all 162 (free)
#SchoolMCAT (25/med/75)Category
141San Juan Bautista School of Medicine

Caguas, PR

/ 496 / Safety
140Ponce Health Sciences University School of Medicine

Ponce, PR

/ 497 / Safety
142Universidad Central del Caribe School of Medicine

Bayamón, PR

/ 498 / Safety
91Morehouse School of Medicine

Atlanta, GA

/ 501 / Target
92Meharry Medical College School of Medicine

Nashville, TN

/ 502 / Target

157 more medical schools scored for MCAT 510 · GPA 3.60

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Data from official medicine school disclosures. Match categories are estimates based on percentile vs admitted-student medians and acceptance rate — they are not a guarantee of admission.

The medical school admissions landscape

What the numbers look like across the 162 US medical schools with published admissions data — and where your stats need to land to be competitive.

510

Median admitted MCAT

496–522 across schools

3.70

Median admitted GPA

3.45–3.96 across schools

514+

Competitive MCAT

Top half of programs

3.82+

Competitive GPA

Top half of programs

Across these 162 medical schools, the typical admitted student sits near a MCAT of 510 and a GPA of 3.70. To be competitive at the more selective half, aim for a MCAT of 514+ with a GPA around 3.82+.

Selectivity varies widely: 131 medicine schools admit fewer than 1 in 5 applicants, while 0 admit more than 60%. The most selective is New York University (2%); the most accessible is University of Mississippi (22%).

That spread is why a single “MCAT score I need” number is misleading — the same stats can be a Safety at one school and a Far Reach at another. Enter yours above to see the split across every school.

How many schools open up as your MCAT rises

Holding GPA at the cohort median (3.70), the number of medical schools where you'd be a Target or better.

MCATTarget or betterof which Safety
50347 / 1622
50762 / 1625
51182 / 1626
51491 / 1628
518114 / 16211

How the medical chances calculator works

  1. 1

    Enter your MCAT score

    Type your MCAT score (range 472–528) into the calculator. Estimates are allowed — you can also enter a target score you're working towards.

  2. 2

    Enter your GPA

    Enter your undergraduate GPA (range 2.0–4.0). Use cumulative GPA on the 4.0 scale. Your match categories update immediately.

  3. 3

    Review your match categories at every school

    The calculator scores all 162 US medical schools with published admissions data and shows whether you are a Safety, Target, Reach, or Far Reach — best fits first. Safety = your stats exceed 75% of admitted students and the modelled admission chance is 60% or better; Target = at or above the median; Reach = below median but within the admitted range; Far Reach = below the 25th percentile. At highly selective schools strong stats alone do not make a Safety, so those appear as Targets. Your full category breakdown and strongest matches appear immediately; the complete ranked list opens with a free account.

  4. 4

    Share or save your list

    Your stats are encoded in the URL — share the link to send your results to a counsellor or mentor. To save your list and unlock full match scores, application tracking, and ROI analysis, create a free AdmitBase account.

Instant match categories

Percentile-based scoring vs each school's 25th/50th/75th MCAT and GPA.

Calibrated probabilities

Logistic model using acceptance rate — so 'Safety' at Yale Law differs from an open-admission school.

Shareable results

Your stats are encoded in the URL. Share a link, get the same view back.

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How categories are calculated

  • Safety (75-100): your stats exceed 75% of admitted students and the modelled admission chance is 60% or better.
  • Target (50-74): at or above the median admit.
  • Reach (25-49): below median but within the admitted range.
  • Far Reach (0-24): below the 25th percentile of admitted students.

Beating the admitted median is not the same as being likely to get in. Where a school admits only a small share of everyone who applies, strong stats still leave you short of a coin flip, so those schools are shown as Targets rather than Safeties — in some programmes that means no Safety exists at any score.

Medicine uses a 50/50 MCAT/GPA weighting.